EFP North County Event a Big Success (0)

2/25/13 •

By Brooke Winrow and Florian Schratt

The UCSB Economic Forecast Project held its invitation-only, 2013 North Santa Barbara County Sponsor Reception & Midyear Economic Review on January 29, 2013, at Terravant Wine Company in Buellton. The event featured an update on current economic conditions by EFP director Dr. Peter Rupert, followed by top wine attorney John Hinman speaking about challenges facing the Santa Barbara County wine industry. Guest included EFP sponsors, board members, and invited business leaders.

Update for California State Income Tax Receipts (0)

1/31/13 •

This an update of the blog, California State Income Tax Receipts, posted September 2012 on the UCSB Economic Forecast website. Since that posting, the remaining four months for 2012 income tax receipts for the General Fund have been published by the California State Controller. In addition, the Governor has proposed a budget for 2013-2014, with new forecasts for state revenue, both for the remaining months of fiscal year 2012-2013 and for the coming fiscal year. This blog takes a look at the state’s changing fiscal prospects.

Real Wages and Changing Wage Bills Per Capita (0)

1/14/13 •

  Introduction Advances in medicine and health care have brought a benefit in terms of longer life spans. At the same time, the question arises whether our institutions are changing fast enough to meet the challenge of an aging population. We know at the national level that health care costs are rising rapidly and contributing [...]

Predicting Elections (0)

12/14/12 •

Introduction Forecasting has many manifestations, philosophies, and methodologies. Currently, because of the recent election, the success of the quantitative or statistical approach used for predicting elections has received a great deal of media attention. For example, The Los Angeles Times OP-ED page on Sunday November 11 contrasted some of the losers who predicted a Romney [...]